PETS – Quarterly update .19/share vs .16 estimates

PETS reported Q3 EPS of .19/share vs. estimates of .16/share and .20/share last year. Revenues were $50.5M vs estimates of $44.7M and 12% higher than last year’s Q3 sales of $45.1M.. They acquired 150,000 new customers in the latest quarter, and saw reorders increase by 8% for the quarter YoY.

The company repurchased 118,000 shares during the quarter for approximately $1M.

If there is one complaint – and there shouldn’t be – it is that margins were squeezed due to aggressive pricing and higher ad spending. As I pointed out in my original write up http://www.chasingbrucegreenwald.com/2011/11/30/the-stock-has-fleas-but-the-business-doesnt-pets/, the company can still generate impressive returns on equity with tightened margins.

The stock traded up as much as 20% this morning as the 24% short interest scrambled to cover. While part of me was tempted to sell above $13 and lock in some profit, I have decided not to.

PETS is still a short term hold for me, and I am under invested as it is. I don’t see a need to generate a tax event only to sit in cash when PETS is yielding almost 5% for me.

My original thesis was that the market had over reacted to increased competition from online upstarts and big box retailers, and that the vets (with 67% of the market) would be the real losers of market share, not PETS.

That thesis remains intact, and while margins have contracted, the business remains able to generate high returns.

One thought on “PETS – Quarterly update .19/share vs .16 estimates

  1. I saw PETS on the magic formula screener a while back, took a closer look, but decided to pass due to competition, as you mentioned. Congrats on a great trade.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>